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November 17, 2008

GM, will you please die already?

Filed under: business — Tags: , — taewoo @ 1:58 pm

GM, like most other American car manufacturers, is dead in the water. I don’t understand why anyone even consider giving any more money to this financial blackhole. Though I frown upon government bailout of the financial systems due to bad loan, I do not understand why anyone would even consider helping this ailing industry.

Mark Cuban said this the best: if I buy a new car and drive it off the lot (when my new car is worth a couple of grand less), should the gov’t bail me out too? 

This is ridiculous.

We need to let GM and Ford go bankrupt, release all of its pension liabilities, and de-unionize. American cars are great. The American labor force that produces them, not so great. This is the 21st century people. We can’t make progress with 20th century notion of pension, job security, etc. In times of globalization, we need to be quick + efficient, just like China. Don’t believe me?  Just ask a 16 year old kid in China or India who’s doing a job that a 40 year old union member American employee would do… he would do it for 1/10th the wage and no benefit whatsoever (forget pension.. he doesn’t even get coffee breaks!)

 

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November 7, 2008

Obama, let GM die

Filed under: business, commentary — Tags: — taewoo @ 4:20 pm

I’m no Bernanke, but I do understand what balance sheet means. And GM’s balance sheet as of June, 2008…. well… SUCKS:

GM balance sheet, June 2008

This company’s balance sheet NEGATIVE $58 BILLION dollars. To me that company’s worthless…

This company that needs to die. Just like homeowners who are under water (i.e. owe more than what the house is worth) foreclose, this company needs to declare bankruptcy. Screw the pensions! Why tax us hard working people so we can fund the pension plans of others?

President Obama, let inefficient companies like this die and let natural markets take its course. Don’t bail them out! (Again!)

I get so riled up. Ok.. BREEEATHE….

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October 27, 2008

Mark Cuban should be the only VC in Silicon Valley

Filed under: business — Tags: , — taewoo @ 11:05 pm

For entrepreneurs (especially those high tech dudes in Silicon Valley), this blog post by Mark Cuban is a must read:

There are only two reasonable sources of capital for startup entrepreneurs, your own pocket and your customers pockets. I personally would never even take money from a family member. Could you imagine the eternal grief and guilt from your mom, dad, uncle or aunt because you blew your nephews college money or the money for grandmas last vacation… I cant.

You shouldn’t have to take money from anyone. Businesses don’t have to start big. The best ones start small enough to suit the circumstances of their founders. I started MicroSolutions by getting an advance from my first customer of $500. The business didn’t grow quickly in the first couple years. We didn’t grow past 4 people in the first couple years, and we all worked dirt cheap.

So what’s wrong with that? It’s OK to start slow. It’s ok to grow slow. As much as you want to think that all things would change if you only had more cash available, they probably won’t.

The reality is that for most businesses, they don’t need more cash, they need more brains.

Thank you Mark.

I see so many idiot entrepreneurs who think that raising money is going to make or break a business. *sigh* If I got paid every time for meeting an idiot entrepreneur-wanna-be who says, “i need a good business plan so I can raise money”, i’d be drinking cristal and pimpin’ hos with 50 cent and Eminem in Hollywood.

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October 16, 2008

Web turds, RIP

Filed under: business, web 2.0 — taewoo @ 10:47 am

Man.. this is one funny ass VC presentation.

http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/10/the-last-vc-memo-we-ll-publish-this-week-

PS: I am sitting at this conference about semantic web thing and it’s amazing to see how people LOVE to bash people on top (i.e. Google, Microsoft, Intel, etc). I want to ask the speakers “hey, if they’re so stupid why are they $200 billion dollar companies and you are just a schmuck?”

 

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October 6, 2008

What is value?

Filed under: business, web 2.0 — Tags: — taewoo @ 12:05 pm

How do you define value for websites?

Ok, let’s take the the wikipedia explanation of value:

The economic value of a good or service has puzzled economists since the beginning of the discipline. First, economists tried to estimate the value of a good to an individual alone, and extend that definition to goods which can be exchanged. From this analysis came the concepts value in use and value in exchange.

Value in use describes what I have to give up to obtain more of a good. I know I will have to reduce my leisure, consumption, savings or investment to obtain more of something. That is the basic trade-off in value.

Value in exchange describes what I have to trade to obtain more of a good, and describes the opportunities available in the market.

So how would one define what is a “valuable” website? I think we can all agree that search engines (i.e. help you find stuff) and mail service providers (i.e. help you communicate) are valuable, but what about seemingly-trivial sites like MySpace/FaceBook/Hi5/Bebo/etc etc? Sure people can agree that social networks are communication platforms, but if communication is what people really wanted, why not stick to just email?

Then again, are these sites valuable because of what they provide or because people use them that these sites are valuable? It’s a chicken or the egg question, but apparently, they are useful in the marketplace otherwise no one would be using them.

How can I define value?

I personally think companies like Skype, WalMart, Microsoft, Lucky’s Supermarket, Verizon, etc. all provide extremely valuable service/products. So I guess my definition of value is… you cannot live comfortably without them or that your life is better because of what they provide.

*shrug*

Monday morning randomness.

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September 29, 2008

Bailout IS needed

Filed under: business — Tags: — taewoo @ 2:52 pm

People keep saying that the bailout is not good b/c

  1. we’re meddling with free market
  2. the bailout is really bailing out greedy wall street executives who took big chances with other people’s money… (i.e. no free lunch if you mess up)

I agree with both of them. Heck, I agree with all of the arguments against the $700 billion bailout. But this time, we have to look at the greater picture.

The credit market ONLY works if there’s credit (i.e. people and companies can borrow to buy whatever they need). With no credit, businesses and producers of society cannot have the debt capital to expand their business or acquire assets. The fundamental problem with the real estate bubble is that people borrow to buy liabilities. This credit crunch doesn’t care WHY you are borrowing, just the fact that you ARE borrowing.

If the businesses and investors cannot borrow, they cannot do business. No business, no jobs, This bailout, yes, is equivalent to bailing out someone who drank too much and is about to have a heart attack from the years of damage he has done to his body. People want him to get better, but guess what, he has to LIVE first before any long term repair can be put in place.

Under all other circumstances, I am against ALL forms of gov’t messing with the natural market forces. But clearly, the current situation is beyond any regular player in the natural market can do. The only player left, unfortunately, is Uncle Sam.

It’s very simple folks: either we pay more taxes or we go into a very long depression. Your choice.

PS: By the way, if you have 401k, pension plan, life insurance, or any long term investments, it’s in your best interest to support this… why? Read this.

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September 26, 2008

WAMU like a washed up Shamu

Filed under: business — Tags: , — taewoo @ 11:55 am

When WAMU stock first tanked from 60 bucks to 3 bucks, that’s when I started to get a notice… thinking “ah crap, bank failure, here we come” I’m not afraid of banks failing… but what I afraid of is the damn herding effect. It’s not the actual event, but the response from the masses.

If I watch a movie and someone screams out fire, I’m not really afraid of the fire. I’m afraid of the idiots screaming and running, trampling all over me and whoever I’m with. The only reason I would run is to make sure I don’t get run over.

When the stock tanked to $3, I wasn’t worried about getting my money out more so I was worried about what the masses would do. In my branch, i was the second person that month to ask for entire balance of account. Sure, though it’d be measly tiny (for now), but shoot, it was MY money. The dude asked me why I’m taking it out. I should’ve replied “sex change operation” so they don’t give me a whole slew of sales pitches on why I should stay. Never knew taking money out of a failing bank could be so rough.

I still had 19 bucks in my account (thanks to stupid PayPal and their delayed everything, but that’s another post) so I figured, shoot, it’s not life savings but I want to eat lunch today. So I went. The branch I go to is really tiny (maybe 500 sq. ft or so) and it was JAM packed. I waited at least 15 minutes, when usually, the wait is about 1-3 minutes. And it wasn’t over. When I was ahead of the line, the line behind me got LONGER. People were nervously filling out withdrawal forms or what not. Then the dreaded words from the teller

Sorry. There’s a stop on withdrawals.

I am not sure if he meant a stop on that particular person’s account … or stop on 100% (or some significant) withdrawals.. but those words made people stop what they were doing and look at that teller.

I’m guessing it’s probably nothing since I did get my 18 bucks (I wanted to leave $1 so I can keep my free WAMU account open) but damn, the line got longer and longer.

I don’t know what’s wiser: being calm + patient or predicting trends and acting on it when the eye of the storm is scaring the herd. Maybe I’ll spend $18 bucks printing + mailing flyers to other WAMU customers to leave while they can. *muahahha* (evil grin)

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September 23, 2008

How to prevent real estate bubbles and clear the national debt

Filed under: business, commentary — Tags: , — taewoo @ 12:50 pm

Mirrored from RedMol.com

This is going to sound ridiculously simplistic but I think it can work.

1. Real Estate Bubble

There’s a very simple reason why real estate bubbles even form in the first place: speculation. If you’re a real estate investor, it sorta makese sense because at least your in the industry. In the previous bubble, people were buying homes as if they were going to make a profit on it while living in it. I don’t know about you, but when I buy my OWN home, my intent is to LIVE in it, not to speculate on it.

By the way, your home is NOT an investment. We can get into very philosophical definition of what an investment is, but that would take days. Look at wikipedia’s definition of what an investment is: 

Investment is the choice by the individual to risk his savings with the hope of gain. Rather than store the good produced, or its money equivalent, the investor chooses to use that good either to create a durable consumer or producer good, or to lend the original saved good to another in exchange for either interest or a share of the profits.

What’s the PRIMARY reason people buy homes? So they don’t have to sleep in cardboard boxes and wake up to someone peeing on your face! It’s a roof over your head, not something you “invest in”. It’s a freakin’ liability, not an asset. Well, that’s not true, it is an asset, just not yours. It’s the banks.

Yes, there were a lot of “investors” and flippers who were speculating and helping to push the bubble further along, but they represent such a small percentage of the people. There’s no way this bubble grew to how big it was w/o the intervention of primary home owners.

So I say we do this : if your primary home is sold within 5 years of purchase, unless you move up into another property, your capital gains is taxed at 90%. Yes this raises a whole slew of “what if’s”…. I say, bring it on. Tell me what these are in the comments.

2. National debt

People think US borrowing is a totally bad thing. Well, I think this can be good.
Other countries are willing to lend money to Uncle Sam @ 5-6%. Instead of blowing this on stupid wasteful things like military expansion, more social security benefits, pensions, etc… why not take this money and buy performing paper notes that produce 10-20% return? i.e… Do what the BANKS do. Yes, this is the federal reserve bank, but they don’t do anything with profit motive in mind. They just care about regulating banks that borrow from them.

Let this new “federal bank” buy PERFORMING credit card loans, auto loans, business loans, etc. Get a yield spread of 8-15%. Heck even give these people a break and cut 2-3 points for and still get a spread of 3-12%.

Yes yes, this bring up another slew of “but” and “if”. Hey, nothing is perfect and the financial system already sucks. Why not suck less.

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September 18, 2008

Dr.Von Doom is dooming the financial markets

Filed under: business — Tags: — taewoo @ 6:04 pm

This was probably a dumb idea but I tried to take a nap with CNBC on yesterday when the stock market tanked after the Uncle Sam took over AIG. I’m a light napper so I can tell what’s going on in my surrounding, especially when TV’s on. I heard lots of Wall Street jargon but all I could hear was

Gloom and doom.

Death.

Blood.

Rape.

Plunder.

Armageddon.

Hell.

Satan.

Dr. Von Doom

I couldn’t fall asleep and this is a VERY important power nap (my daily ritual). I was mad. No stock market crash is going make me skip my nap. Dammit.

If you’re interested in buying real estate or have retirement plans (not just private 401k folks, but you 403b government pension people, especially CalPERS), read this interesting article about your ass is not immune to this.

Dr. Von Doom, come on man. Let me sleep already.

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September 12, 2008

Jerry Seinfeld and Bill Gates commercials are friggin’ AWESOME

Filed under: business, commentary — Tags: — taewoo @ 12:20 pm

There’s a whole bunch of people who are saying these ads suck or that they serve no purpose. Really? Hmm. Bill Gate is worth $60 billion dollars. I am sure he didn’t get there by total random chance. Funny thing is, i think i would listen to them if they were successful entrepreneurs themselves, but they’re not. Just bunch of critical, whiney little bitches. That’s what critics are supposed to do.. CRITICIZE.

NO purpose? Hmm.. i am not sure either but shoot, didn’t these people watch these ads with curiosity? I bet some people (like me) even sought them out on video sharing sites. That’s what good marketing is, ain’t it? Peek you curiosity?

There’s so much Microsoft bashing among silicon valley people. Man, get a life. Instead of making fun of Microsoft, why don’t you people try and build the next Microsoft? I bet they’re like “Psshhh. i would never build such shitty product.”

I’m sure there are lots of smart people out there who can build better OS , or better mouse trap… or whatever. But can they SELL like Microsoft and have total dominance? Probably NOT cuz if they can, they probably would’ve. *badabump*

Bill, if you ever read my post, i want to say thank you for bringing the PC to the masses. Linux or Mac will never take over the PC market, cuz most of the people will never understand them. But I would like to see you fix bugs in next OS’s cuz Vista sucks.

Maybe i’m just crazy. I love these commercials. Bill’s got more ha-ha than most people realize:

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